JPMorgan Chase Setting Up for a Potential Uptrend

By Predictive Pick | November 18, 2025


JPMorgan Chase Setting Up for a Potential Uptrend

Introduction

JPMorgan Chase & Co. the largest U.S. bank by assets  is showing renewed strength after pulling back to its 100-day EMA near the $295 level, a major technical support zone. With financials stabilizing, loan growth improving, and capital markets activity rising, JPM is positioning itself for a potential continuation of the long-term uptrend.

This article breaks down the fundamentals, the technical setup, and the broader macro environment shaping JPM’s next move.

 

About JPMorgan Chase

JPMorgan Chase is a global financial institution operating across:

  • Consumer banking and credit services
  • Corporate and investment banking
  • Asset and wealth management
  • Commercial banking

The company is widely regarded as the strongest and safest U.S. bank, consistently reporting industry-leading returns on equity, strict risk control, and diversified revenue streams. With over $4 trillion in assets and a deeply diversified business, JPM remains the backbone of the global financial system.

 

Why JPM Is in Focus Now

1. Strong Bounce From the 100-Day EMA (Near $295)

The $295 zone has acted as a crucial dynamic support area. Historically, JPM has respected this EMA during healthy uptrends.
A clean hold above this level indicates institutional buying and trend continuation in motion.

2. Rising Profitability and Stable Margins

While rate cuts may slow net interest income, JPM balances this with:

  • Strong fee-based income
  • Investment banking recovery
  • Expanding wealth management
  • Expense discipline

Financial markets activity is improving, benefiting JPM more than any other U.S. bank.

3. Banking Sector Tailwinds

Key macro shifts supporting the stock:

  • Lower inflation
  • Soft landing expectations
  • Healthy consumer credit
  • Increase in corporate dealmaking
  • Solid GDP growth projections

This environment traditionally pushes large financials higher.

4. Market Leadership in AI-Driven Banking

JPM is heavily investing in AI for:

  • Fraud detection
  • Automated trading systems
  • Loan risk modeling
  • Customer personalization

These innovations lower costs and raise efficiency — improving long-term profitability.

 

Technical View: Preparing for an Uptrend

  • Support: $295 (100-day EMA)
  • Resistance Zones: $315 → $330
  • Trend: Higher lows on weekly timeframe
  • Momentum: Oversold-to-neutral on daily charts, indicating potential bounce

A sustained close above $305–308 could trigger a fresh bullish leg.

 

Medium-Term Outlook (6–18 Months)

Base Case:
JPM grinds higher supported by stable earnings and improved capital markets activity. Target: $330–350

Bull Case:
A strong economic expansion paired with rising fee revenues could push JPM toward $360+

Bear Case:
Unexpected credit stress or regulatory tightening could push JPM back toward $275–285

 

Risks to Watch

  • Loan delinquencies increasing
  • Sudden economic slowdown
  • Regulatory pressure or capital requirement changes
  • Rate cuts reducing net interest income
  • Global geopolitical events impacting credit markets

 

Conclusion

JPMorgan Chase remains one of the most stable and strategically positioned financial institutions globally. With the stock bouncing from a major technical support zone and banking-sector fundamentals improving, JPM is entering a potential upward trend supported by strong balance sheet quality, diversified revenue, and steady macro tailwinds.

 

Disclaimer

This article is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice and does not recommend buying or selling any security. Banking stocks can be volatile and involve risk. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.

 

← Back to Blogs

Subscribe to our Blogs

Get the latest blog updates directly in your inbox.